Florida Atlantic at UL Monroe -- NCAA Week 4, September 26, 2026.
Model prediction: Florida Atlantic favored by 2.5, projected total 63.4 points, 44.3% win probability for UL Monroe.
Prediction last recalculated September 8, 2026 at 6:02 AM UTC.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -24.8, 25th percentile: -14.0, 50th percentile: -2.3, 75th percentile: +9.4, 90th percentile: +20.5. Total points 10th percentile: 42.3, 25th percentile: 52.1, 50th percentile: 63.6, 75th percentile: 75.3, 90th percentile: 85.2.
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