Houston at Georgia Southern -- NCAA Week 4, September 26, 2026.
Model prediction: Georgia Southern favored by 0.9, projected total 62.4 points, 52.2% win probability for Georgia Southern.
Prediction last recalculated September 8, 2026 at 6:02 AM UTC.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -21.2, 25th percentile: -10.7, 50th percentile: +0.9, 75th percentile: +12.7, 90th percentile: +23.3. Total points 10th percentile: 41.5, 25th percentile: 51.5, 50th percentile: 62.7, 75th percentile: 73.9, 90th percentile: 83.9.
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