Minnesota at Washington -- NCAA Week 4, September 26, 2026.
Model prediction: Washington favored by 10.0, projected total 39.6 points, 71.8% win probability for Washington.
Prediction last recalculated September 8, 2026 at 6:02 AM UTC.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -12.7, 25th percentile: -2.3, 50th percentile: +9.4, 75th percentile: +21.3, 90th percentile: +32.0. Total points 10th percentile: 18.5, 25th percentile: 28.3, 50th percentile: 39.7, 75th percentile: 51.0, 90th percentile: 61.0.
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