Delaware at Virginia -- NCAA Week 4, September 26, 2026.
Model prediction: Virginia favored by 21.8, projected total 46.3 points, 88.5% win probability for Virginia.
Prediction last recalculated September 8, 2026 at 6:01 AM UTC.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -0.6, 25th percentile: +9.8, 50th percentile: +21.7, 75th percentile: +33.4, 90th percentile: +44.0. Total points 10th percentile: 24.7, 25th percentile: 34.8, 50th percentile: 46.3, 75th percentile: 57.5, 90th percentile: 67.5.
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