Illinois at Ohio State -- NCAA Week 4, September 26, 2026.
Model prediction: Ohio State favored by 22.2, projected total 41.0 points, 88.9% win probability for Ohio State.
Prediction last recalculated September 8, 2026 at 6:02 AM UTC.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -0.3, 25th percentile: +10.5, 50th percentile: +22.4, 75th percentile: +34.1, 90th percentile: +45.0. Total points 10th percentile: 19.5, 25th percentile: 29.7, 50th percentile: 41.2, 75th percentile: 52.2, 90th percentile: 62.4.
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