Iowa at Michigan -- NCAA Week 4, September 26, 2026.
Model prediction: Michigan favored by 2.7, projected total 38.6 points, 56.2% win probability for Michigan.
Prediction last recalculated September 8, 2026 at 6:02 AM UTC.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -19.9, 25th percentile: -8.8, 50th percentile: +2.7, 75th percentile: +14.6, 90th percentile: +24.7. Total points 10th percentile: 17.0, 25th percentile: 27.1, 50th percentile: 38.4, 75th percentile: 49.9, 90th percentile: 59.6.
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