Oregon at USC -- NCAA Week 4, September 26, 2026.
Model prediction: Oregon favored by 1.6, projected total 53.0 points, 46.2% win probability for USC.
Prediction last recalculated September 8, 2026 at 6:02 AM UTC.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -23.7, 25th percentile: -13.4, 50th percentile: -1.5, 75th percentile: +10.1, 90th percentile: +20.4. Total points 10th percentile: 31.1, 25th percentile: 41.4, 50th percentile: 52.8, 75th percentile: 64.2, 90th percentile: 74.4.
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