Kennesaw State at Arkansas State -- NCAA Week 4, September 26, 2026.
Model prediction: Arkansas State favored by 2.1, projected total 59.6 points, 54.9% win probability for Arkansas State.
Prediction last recalculated September 8, 2026 at 6:02 AM UTC.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -20.2, 25th percentile: -9.4, 50th percentile: +2.2, 75th percentile: +13.4, 90th percentile: +23.8. Total points 10th percentile: 38.2, 25th percentile: 48.2, 50th percentile: 59.4, 75th percentile: 70.7, 90th percentile: 80.8.
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