Missouri at Mississippi State -- NCAA Week 4, September 26, 2026.
Model prediction: Missouri favored by 5.5, projected total 55.1 points, 37.4% win probability for Mississippi State.
Prediction last recalculated September 8, 2026 at 6:01 AM UTC.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -28.5, 25th percentile: -17.6, 50th percentile: -5.7, 75th percentile: +5.9, 90th percentile: +16.6. Total points 10th percentile: 33.7, 25th percentile: 43.7, 50th percentile: 55.2, 75th percentile: 66.4, 90th percentile: 76.4.
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