Boise State at Western Michigan -- NCAA Week 4, September 26, 2026.
Model prediction: Western Michigan favored by 3.6, projected total 37.3 points, 58.3% win probability for Western Michigan.
Prediction last recalculated September 8, 2026 at 6:01 AM UTC.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -18.6, 25th percentile: -8.1, 50th percentile: +4.0, 75th percentile: +15.6, 90th percentile: +26.1. Total points 10th percentile: 15.8, 25th percentile: 26.1, 50th percentile: 37.2, 75th percentile: 48.3, 90th percentile: 59.1.
Read the full plain-text report for this game, including every player prop projection.
See how this prediction is calculated and how accurate the model has been.