South Carolina at Alabama -- NCAA Week 4, September 26, 2026.
Model prediction: Alabama favored by 16.9, projected total 40.7 points, 82.9% win probability for Alabama.
Prediction last recalculated September 8, 2026 at 6:01 AM UTC.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -5.2, 25th percentile: +5.4, 50th percentile: +17.0, 75th percentile: +28.5, 90th percentile: +39.2. Total points 10th percentile: 18.6, 25th percentile: 29.4, 50th percentile: 40.5, 75th percentile: 51.5, 90th percentile: 62.0.
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