Fresno State at San José State -- NCAA Week 3, September 20, 2026.
Model prediction: Fresno State favored by 8.8, projected total 44.2 points, 30.6% win probability for San José State.
Prediction last recalculated August 30, 2026 at 6:01 AM UTC.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -31.3, 25th percentile: -20.6, 50th percentile: -9.1, 75th percentile: +2.5, 90th percentile: +13.5. Total points 10th percentile: 22.8, 25th percentile: 32.9, 50th percentile: 44.1, 75th percentile: 55.5, 90th percentile: 65.8.
Read the full plain-text report for this game, including every player prop projection.
See how this prediction is calculated and how accurate the model has been.