Northern Illinois at Arizona -- NCAA Week 3, September 20, 2026.
Model prediction: Arizona favored by 21.2, projected total 47.7 points, 87.9% win probability for Arizona.
Prediction last recalculated August 30, 2026 at 6:01 AM UTC.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -1.3, 25th percentile: +9.6, 50th percentile: +21.0, 75th percentile: +33.0, 90th percentile: +43.7. Total points 10th percentile: 26.4, 25th percentile: 36.4, 50th percentile: 47.5, 75th percentile: 58.8, 90th percentile: 69.1.
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