North Dakota State at Sacramento State -- NCAA Week 3, September 20, 2026.
Model prediction: North Dakota State favored by 2.7, projected total 34.9 points, 43.7% win probability for Sacramento State.
Prediction last recalculated August 30, 2026 at 6:01 AM UTC.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -24.4, 25th percentile: -14.1, 50th percentile: -2.3, 75th percentile: +9.4, 90th percentile: +20.2. Total points 10th percentile: 13.1, 25th percentile: 23.7, 50th percentile: 35.2, 75th percentile: 46.6, 90th percentile: 56.7.
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