James Madison at San Diego State -- NCAA Week 3, September 20, 2026.
Model prediction: James Madison favored by 5.6, projected total 50.4 points, 37.2% win probability for San Diego State.
Prediction last recalculated August 30, 2026 at 6:01 AM UTC.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -27.5, 25th percentile: -17.4, 50th percentile: -5.7, 75th percentile: +5.6, 90th percentile: +16.3. Total points 10th percentile: 28.5, 25th percentile: 39.3, 50th percentile: 50.7, 75th percentile: 61.9, 90th percentile: 71.6.
Read the full plain-text report for this game, including every player prop projection.
See how this prediction is calculated and how accurate the model has been.