UAB at Louisiana -- NCAA Week 3, September 20, 2026.
Model prediction: Louisiana favored by 10.8, projected total 59.1 points, 73.3% win probability for Louisiana.
Prediction last recalculated August 30, 2026 at 6:01 AM UTC.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -11.3, 25th percentile: -0.6, 50th percentile: +10.9, 75th percentile: +22.6, 90th percentile: +33.1. Total points 10th percentile: 38.5, 25th percentile: 48.4, 50th percentile: 59.9, 75th percentile: 70.5, 90th percentile: 80.6.
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