UTSA at Texas -- NCAA Week 3, September 20, 2026.
Model prediction: Texas favored by 15.6, projected total 72.2 points, 81.2% win probability for Texas.
Prediction last recalculated August 30, 2026 at 6:01 AM UTC.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -6.5, 25th percentile: +4.2, 50th percentile: +15.8, 75th percentile: +27.2, 90th percentile: +38.0. Total points 10th percentile: 50.5, 25th percentile: 60.4, 50th percentile: 71.8, 75th percentile: 83.5, 90th percentile: 94.0.
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