New Mexico at Oklahoma -- NCAA Week 3, September 19, 2026.
Model prediction: Oklahoma favored by 9.7, projected total 37.3 points, 71.2% win probability for Oklahoma.
Prediction last recalculated August 30, 2026 at 6:02 AM UTC.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -12.7, 25th percentile: -2.1, 50th percentile: +9.8, 75th percentile: +21.5, 90th percentile: +32.1. Total points 10th percentile: 15.7, 25th percentile: 26.0, 50th percentile: 37.6, 75th percentile: 49.0, 90th percentile: 58.7.
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