West Virginia at Virginia -- NCAA Week 3, September 19, 2026.
Model prediction: Virginia favored by 16.4, projected total 43.3 points, 82.3% win probability for Virginia.
Prediction last recalculated August 30, 2026 at 6:02 AM UTC.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -5.9, 25th percentile: +4.7, 50th percentile: +16.5, 75th percentile: +28.0, 90th percentile: +38.9. Total points 10th percentile: 21.6, 25th percentile: 32.3, 50th percentile: 43.4, 75th percentile: 54.7, 90th percentile: 64.5.
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