UConn at Southern Miss -- NCAA Week 3, September 19, 2026.
Model prediction: UConn favored by 3.0, projected total 68.2 points, 43.1% win probability for Southern Miss.
Prediction last recalculated August 30, 2026 at 6:02 AM UTC.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -25.3, 25th percentile: -14.7, 50th percentile: -2.9, 75th percentile: +8.5, 90th percentile: +18.9. Total points 10th percentile: 47.1, 25th percentile: 57.1, 50th percentile: 68.3, 75th percentile: 79.3, 90th percentile: 89.2.
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