Ohio at South Alabama -- NCAA Week 3, September 19, 2026.
Model prediction: Ohio favored by 8.7, projected total 50.5 points, 30.7% win probability for South Alabama.
Prediction last recalculated August 30, 2026 at 6:02 AM UTC.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -30.7, 25th percentile: -20.2, 50th percentile: -8.6, 75th percentile: +2.7, 90th percentile: +13.6. Total points 10th percentile: 29.2, 25th percentile: 39.1, 50th percentile: 50.4, 75th percentile: 61.7, 90th percentile: 71.9.
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