Georgia State at UCF -- NCAA Week 3, September 19, 2026.
Model prediction: UCF favored by 13.9, projected total 44.8 points, 78.6% win probability for UCF.
Prediction last recalculated August 30, 2026 at 6:02 AM UTC.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -7.9, 25th percentile: +2.4, 50th percentile: +14.1, 75th percentile: +26.0, 90th percentile: +36.5. Total points 10th percentile: 23.0, 25th percentile: 33.5, 50th percentile: 44.6, 75th percentile: 56.0, 90th percentile: 66.2.
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