Florida at Auburn -- NCAA Week 3, September 19, 2026.
Model prediction: Auburn favored by 3.0, projected total 39.1 points, 57.0% win probability for Auburn.
Prediction last recalculated August 30, 2026 at 6:02 AM UTC.
Market spread: Auburn -1.5.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -19.2, 25th percentile: -8.6, 50th percentile: +3.0, 75th percentile: +14.4, 90th percentile: +25.1. Total points 10th percentile: 17.4, 25th percentile: 27.8, 50th percentile: 39.0, 75th percentile: 50.4, 90th percentile: 60.6.
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