Florida International at Florida Atlantic -- NCAA Week 3, September 19, 2026.
Model prediction: Florida International favored by 2.3, projected total 78.5 points, 44.7% win probability for Florida Atlantic.
Prediction last recalculated August 30, 2026 at 6:02 AM UTC.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -25.1, 25th percentile: -14.2, 50th percentile: -2.3, 75th percentile: +9.4, 90th percentile: +20.2. Total points 10th percentile: 57.1, 25th percentile: 67.5, 50th percentile: 78.7, 75th percentile: 89.9, 90th percentile: 100.2.
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