Charlotte at App State -- NCAA Week 3, September 19, 2026.
Model prediction: App State favored by 15.2, projected total 52.7 points, 80.5% win probability for App State.
Prediction last recalculated August 30, 2026 at 6:01 AM UTC.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -7.1, 25th percentile: +3.6, 50th percentile: +15.2, 75th percentile: +26.8, 90th percentile: +37.2. Total points 10th percentile: 31.3, 25th percentile: 41.8, 50th percentile: 53.2, 75th percentile: 64.3, 90th percentile: 74.1.
Read the full plain-text report for this game, including every player prop projection.
See how this prediction is calculated and how accurate the model has been.