Mississippi State at South Carolina -- NCAA Week 3, September 19, 2026.
Model prediction: South Carolina favored by 10.7, projected total 55.6 points, 73.2% win probability for South Carolina.
Prediction last recalculated August 30, 2026 at 6:01 AM UTC.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -11.7, 25th percentile: -0.9, 50th percentile: +10.7, 75th percentile: +22.5, 90th percentile: +33.2. Total points 10th percentile: 34.5, 25th percentile: 44.6, 50th percentile: 55.8, 75th percentile: 66.7, 90th percentile: 77.2.
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