Stanford at Duke -- NCAA Week 3, September 19, 2026.
Model prediction: Duke favored by 14.4, projected total 61.2 points, 79.4% win probability for Duke.
Prediction last recalculated August 30, 2026 at 6:01 AM UTC.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -7.7, 25th percentile: +3.2, 50th percentile: +14.6, 75th percentile: +26.3, 90th percentile: +36.8. Total points 10th percentile: 39.5, 25th percentile: 50.2, 50th percentile: 61.1, 75th percentile: 72.6, 90th percentile: 82.7.
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