Miami (OH) at Cincinnati -- NCAA Week 3, September 19, 2026.
Model prediction: Cincinnati favored by 3.2, projected total 47.4 points, 57.5% win probability for Cincinnati.
Prediction last recalculated August 30, 2026 at 6:02 AM UTC.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -19.1, 25th percentile: -8.4, 50th percentile: +3.3, 75th percentile: +14.7, 90th percentile: +25.0. Total points 10th percentile: 25.9, 25th percentile: 36.0, 50th percentile: 47.3, 75th percentile: 58.7, 90th percentile: 68.8.
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