Utah State at Utah -- NCAA Week 3, September 19, 2026.
Model prediction: Utah favored by 20.3, projected total 67.9 points, 87.0% win probability for Utah.
Prediction last recalculated August 30, 2026 at 6:02 AM UTC.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -2.0, 25th percentile: +8.4, 50th percentile: +20.6, 75th percentile: +32.3, 90th percentile: +42.8. Total points 10th percentile: 47.0, 25th percentile: 56.7, 50th percentile: 67.8, 75th percentile: 79.2, 90th percentile: 89.8.
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