Temple at Toledo -- NCAA Week 3, September 19, 2026.
Model prediction: Toledo favored by 17.9, projected total 47.4 points, 84.2% win probability for Toledo.
Prediction last recalculated August 30, 2026 at 6:02 AM UTC.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -3.7, 25th percentile: +6.6, 50th percentile: +18.1, 75th percentile: +29.7, 90th percentile: +40.3. Total points 10th percentile: 25.5, 25th percentile: 35.8, 50th percentile: 47.1, 75th percentile: 58.5, 90th percentile: 68.8.
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