Troy at Missouri -- NCAA Week 3, September 19, 2026.
Model prediction: Missouri favored by 10.4, projected total 35.1 points, 72.5% win probability for Missouri.
Prediction last recalculated August 30, 2026 at 6:01 AM UTC.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -12.1, 25th percentile: -1.2, 50th percentile: +10.4, 75th percentile: +22.3, 90th percentile: +32.8. Total points 10th percentile: 13.5, 25th percentile: 23.7, 50th percentile: 35.4, 75th percentile: 46.5, 90th percentile: 56.7.
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