Arizona State at Kansas -- NCAA Week 3, September 19, 2026.
Model prediction: Arizona State favored by 1.1, projected total 52.6 points, 47.5% win probability for Kansas.
Prediction last recalculated August 30, 2026 at 6:01 AM UTC.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -23.7, 25th percentile: -13.3, 50th percentile: -1.1, 75th percentile: +10.4, 90th percentile: +21.2. Total points 10th percentile: 31.2, 25th percentile: 40.9, 50th percentile: 52.2, 75th percentile: 63.7, 90th percentile: 73.8.
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