Georgia at Arkansas -- NCAA Week 3, September 19, 2026.
Model prediction: Georgia favored by 18.5, projected total 66.8 points, 15.0% win probability for Arkansas.
Prediction last recalculated August 30, 2026 at 6:01 AM UTC.
Market spread: Arkansas +16.5.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -40.4, 25th percentile: -30.0, 50th percentile: -18.5, 75th percentile: -6.8, 90th percentile: +3.8. Total points 10th percentile: 45.1, 25th percentile: 55.3, 50th percentile: 66.9, 75th percentile: 78.0, 90th percentile: 88.3.
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