Tulane at Kansas State -- NCAA Week 3, September 19, 2026.
Model prediction: Kansas State favored by 2.8, projected total 59.5 points, 56.6% win probability for Kansas State.
Prediction last recalculated August 30, 2026 at 6:01 AM UTC.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -19.6, 25th percentile: -9.3, 50th percentile: +2.7, 75th percentile: +14.7, 90th percentile: +24.9. Total points 10th percentile: 37.9, 25th percentile: 48.2, 50th percentile: 59.4, 75th percentile: 70.8, 90th percentile: 81.0.
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