Houston at Texas Tech -- NCAA Week 3, September 19, 2026.
Model prediction: Texas Tech favored by 14.0, projected total 46.7 points, 78.8% win probability for Texas Tech.
Prediction last recalculated August 30, 2026 at 6:01 AM UTC.
Market spread: Texas Tech -13.5.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -8.2, 25th percentile: +2.2, 50th percentile: +13.9, 75th percentile: +25.9, 90th percentile: +36.1. Total points 10th percentile: 25.0, 25th percentile: 35.6, 50th percentile: 47.0, 75th percentile: 58.4, 90th percentile: 68.4.
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