Sacramento State at Fresno State -- NCAA Week 2, September 13, 2026.
Model prediction: Fresno State favored by 13.2, projected total 31.3 points, 77.5% win probability for Fresno State.
Prediction last recalculated August 30, 2026 at 6:01 AM UTC.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -9.8, 25th percentile: +1.2, 50th percentile: +13.1, 75th percentile: +24.8, 90th percentile: +35.2. Total points 10th percentile: 9.7, 25th percentile: 19.8, 50th percentile: 31.0, 75th percentile: 42.5, 90th percentile: 52.6.
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