Ohio State at Texas

Ohio State at Texas -- NCAA Week 2, September 12, 2026.

Model prediction: Texas favored by 1.0, projected total 43.3 points, 52.4% win probability for Texas.

Prediction last recalculated August 30, 2026 at 6:01 AM UTC.

Market spread: Texas -1.5.

Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -21.6, 25th percentile: -10.8, 50th percentile: +1.1, 75th percentile: +12.6, 90th percentile: +23.6. Total points 10th percentile: 22.1, 25th percentile: 32.2, 50th percentile: 43.6, 75th percentile: 54.5, 90th percentile: 64.5.

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