Middle Tennessee at Marshall -- NCAA Week 2, September 12, 2026.
Model prediction: Marshall favored by 14.3, projected total 69.4 points, 79.2% win probability for Marshall.
Prediction last recalculated August 30, 2026 at 6:01 AM UTC.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -8.0, 25th percentile: +2.6, 50th percentile: +14.4, 75th percentile: +26.1, 90th percentile: +36.4. Total points 10th percentile: 48.0, 25th percentile: 58.2, 50th percentile: 69.3, 75th percentile: 80.3, 90th percentile: 90.9.
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