UNLV at North Texas -- NCAA Week 2, September 12, 2026.
Model prediction: North Texas favored by 7.4, projected total 78.3 points, 66.6% win probability for North Texas.
Prediction last recalculated August 30, 2026 at 6:01 AM UTC.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -14.9, 25th percentile: -4.3, 50th percentile: +7.1, 75th percentile: +18.6, 90th percentile: +29.2. Total points 10th percentile: 57.0, 25th percentile: 67.0, 50th percentile: 78.3, 75th percentile: 89.5, 90th percentile: 99.6.
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