Mississippi State at Minnesota -- NCAA Week 2, September 12, 2026.
Model prediction: Minnesota favored by 15.5, projected total 52.6 points, 81.1% win probability for Minnesota.
Prediction last recalculated August 30, 2026 at 6:00 AM UTC.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -6.5, 25th percentile: +4.0, 50th percentile: +15.9, 75th percentile: +27.5, 90th percentile: +38.1. Total points 10th percentile: 30.8, 25th percentile: 41.3, 50th percentile: 52.7, 75th percentile: 64.1, 90th percentile: 74.0.
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