Alabama at Kentucky -- NCAA Week 2, September 12, 2026.
Model prediction: Alabama favored by 7.5, projected total 40.6 points, 33.1% win probability for Kentucky.
Prediction last recalculated August 30, 2026 at 6:01 AM UTC.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -29.7, 25th percentile: -19.3, 50th percentile: -7.6, 75th percentile: +4.3, 90th percentile: +14.9. Total points 10th percentile: 19.4, 25th percentile: 29.6, 50th percentile: 40.7, 75th percentile: 52.1, 90th percentile: 62.0.
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