Duke at Illinois -- NCAA Week 2, September 12, 2026.
Model prediction: Illinois favored by 2.8, projected total 61.5 points, 56.6% win probability for Illinois.
Prediction last recalculated August 30, 2026 at 6:01 AM UTC.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -19.0, 25th percentile: -8.8, 50th percentile: +2.7, 75th percentile: +14.6, 90th percentile: +25.2. Total points 10th percentile: 39.9, 25th percentile: 50.1, 50th percentile: 61.2, 75th percentile: 72.9, 90th percentile: 83.3.
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