Oklahoma at Michigan -- NCAA Week 2, September 12, 2026.
Model prediction: Michigan favored by 3.9, projected total 38.1 points, 59.1% win probability for Michigan.
Prediction last recalculated August 30, 2026 at 6:01 AM UTC.
Market spread: Michigan -1.5.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -18.5, 25th percentile: -7.6, 50th percentile: +3.8, 75th percentile: +15.5, 90th percentile: +26.3. Total points 10th percentile: 16.9, 25th percentile: 26.8, 50th percentile: 38.3, 75th percentile: 49.2, 90th percentile: 59.4.
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