Oregon at Oklahoma State -- NCAA Week 2, September 12, 2026.
Model prediction: Oregon favored by 25.2, projected total 48.2 points, 8.6% win probability for Oklahoma State.
Prediction last recalculated August 30, 2026 at 6:01 AM UTC.
Market spread: Oklahoma State +17.5.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -47.9, 25th percentile: -37.0, 50th percentile: -25.2, 75th percentile: -13.4, 90th percentile: -2.9. Total points 10th percentile: 26.9, 25th percentile: 36.9, 50th percentile: 47.9, 75th percentile: 59.8, 90th percentile: 69.8.
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