New Mexico State at Hawai'i -- NCAA Week 2, September 13, 2026.
Model prediction: Hawai'i favored by 16.9, projected total 58.1 points, 82.9% win probability for Hawai'i.
Prediction last recalculated August 30, 2026 at 6:01 AM UTC.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -5.8, 25th percentile: +4.8, 50th percentile: +16.5, 75th percentile: +28.2, 90th percentile: +39.0. Total points 10th percentile: 36.5, 25th percentile: 46.7, 50th percentile: 57.7, 75th percentile: 68.9, 90th percentile: 78.7.
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