Missouri at Kansas -- NCAA Week 2, September 12, 2026.
Model prediction: Missouri favored by 1.9, projected total 44.9 points, 45.6% win probability for Kansas.
Prediction last recalculated August 30, 2026 at 6:01 AM UTC.
Market spread: Kansas +6.5.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -24.0, 25th percentile: -13.5, 50th percentile: -1.7, 75th percentile: +10.1, 90th percentile: +20.7. Total points 10th percentile: 23.5, 25th percentile: 33.7, 50th percentile: 44.9, 75th percentile: 56.2, 90th percentile: 66.0.
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