Wisconsin at Notre Dame -- NCAA Week 1, September 6, 2026.
Model prediction: Notre Dame favored by 23.3, projected total 40.3 points, 89.8% win probability for Notre Dame.
Prediction last recalculated August 30, 2026 at 6:01 AM UTC.
Market spread: Notre Dame -20.5.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: +1.2, 25th percentile: +11.5, 50th percentile: +23.4, 75th percentile: +35.4, 90th percentile: +45.7. Total points 10th percentile: 18.8, 25th percentile: 29.1, 50th percentile: 40.4, 75th percentile: 51.8, 90th percentile: 61.9.
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