Louisville at Ole Miss -- NCAA Week 1, September 6, 2026.
Model prediction: Ole Miss favored by 13.5, projected total 53.4 points, 78.0% win probability for Ole Miss.
Prediction last recalculated August 30, 2026 at 6:01 AM UTC.
Market spread: Ole Miss -6.5.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -8.7, 25th percentile: +2.0, 50th percentile: +13.5, 75th percentile: +25.4, 90th percentile: +35.7. Total points 10th percentile: 32.2, 25th percentile: 42.1, 50th percentile: 53.5, 75th percentile: 64.8, 90th percentile: 74.7.
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