Washington State at Washington -- NCAA Week 1, September 6, 2026.
Model prediction: Washington favored by 11.2, projected total 33.9 points, 74.0% win probability for Washington.
Prediction last recalculated August 30, 2026 at 6:01 AM UTC.
Market spread: Washington -23.5.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -11.1, 25th percentile: -0.4, 50th percentile: +11.1, 75th percentile: +23.2, 90th percentile: +33.6. Total points 10th percentile: 12.3, 25th percentile: 22.8, 50th percentile: 33.8, 75th percentile: 45.0, 90th percentile: 55.4.
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