UCLA at California -- NCAA Week 1, September 6, 2026.
Model prediction: California favored by 7.1, projected total 59.1 points, 66.0% win probability for California.
Prediction last recalculated August 30, 2026 at 6:01 AM UTC.
Market spread: California +1.5.
Simulated range of outcomes (10,000 simulations) -- home margin 10th percentile: -15.3, 25th percentile: -4.6, 50th percentile: +7.5, 75th percentile: +19.3, 90th percentile: +29.5. Total points 10th percentile: 37.6, 25th percentile: 47.6, 50th percentile: 59.0, 75th percentile: 70.2, 90th percentile: 80.2.
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